Skip to main content
AgTecher Logo

Cocoa Price Analysis

18-month market overview ยท Real-time data ยท Climate impact analysis

Current
$6,250/MT
+49% YoY
Climate Index
71/100
Good
Peak (Dec 24)
$12,906
-51.6%

Market Signals

Bullish Factors

West African harvest exceeds expectations
Climate forecasts positive for 2025/26 season
Ghana implements new anti-smuggling measures
Sustainable cocoa demand grows in EU markets

Bearish Factors

Chocolate makers maintain elevated retail prices

Market Overview

Production
+8.5%
Weather
Favorable
Disease
Moderate
Processing
Stable
Volatility
Declining
Outlook
Stable

Price & Climate Development

Price ($/MT)
Climate Index

Global Production Overview

Ivory Coast
Government raises farmgate prices
stable
2200k tons
38.5%
Ghana
160,000 tons lost to smuggling
declining
800k tons
14%
Ecuador
Production expansion continues
growing
327k tons
5.7%
Cameroon
Farmers combat theft with vigilante groups
stable
290k tons
5.1%
Nigeria
Investment in processing facilities
growing
280k tons
4.9%
Brazil
Focus on sustainable farming
stable
235k tons
4.1%
Indonesia
Farmers switch to palm oil
declining
220k tons
3.8%
Peru
Organic cocoa exports increase
growing
140k tons
2.4%